90-day risk of a NATO member country offensively entering Ukraine/Ukrainian airspace
90-day risk of US strikes against Russian military assets outside Russia
90-day risk of Kaliningrad being blockaded
90-day risk of the Montreux Convention being scrapped
90-day risk of NATO member countries sinking >40% of Russia's Black Sea Fleet
90-day risk of Russia being designated a state sponsor of terror by the US
90-day risk of a cyberattack shutting off most of Russia's electric power
States other than Russia using a non-test nuclear weapon by 2033
90-day risk of an American nuclear strike on Russia
90-day risk of a nuclear war between America and Russia that results in at least 1m fatalities
90-day risk of Vladimir Putin leaving office
A war across the Taiwan strait by 2027